Chance Of A Recession In 2024. Even so, economists aren’t significantly downgrading their calls for a recession between now and december 2024. Morgan research indicates that the probability of a u.s.

So far, there are no signs that the us economy is. There is now a 35% chance that the global economy will enter a recession by the end of 2024, and a 45% chance that it will do so by the end of 2025.